Skip to content

Oscars 2019 Predictions

The road to the 2019 Oscars has been a wild one, from category scandals to a no0host show, it will be interesting to see how things pan out this Sunday. As for the actual awards, let’s take a look at my predictions.

BEST PICTURE

Will Win: Roma

Could Win: Green Book

Should Win: Green Book

For the top prize, Roma is currently the frontrunner based on its performance in other recent awards shows. It won Foreign Language Film at the Golden Globes, Best Film at the BAFTAs and Critic’s Choice, and surprising nominations for both Yalitza Aparicio and Marina De Tavira show the Academy clearly has some love to show for this Netflix film, who by the way, has spearheaded one of the most expensive awards campaigns ever seen. However, there is a clear path for another film to win, especially in such a crowded and unexpected year. Green Book, despite its controversy, won best film at the PGAs, a strong indicator for the Oscars, and at the Golden Globes. It has clearly struck a chord with a lot of audiences, and with the preferential ballot, crowd-pleasing Green Book might have a stronger chance than divisive Roma, with a lot of people ranking it as their number 2 film. Also, is the usually old-fashioned Academy ready to award a streaming film as their Best Picture? We’ll see. Other films potentially in contention are BlacKkKlansman and Black Panther, although their chances have diminished as of late. 

BEST DIRECTOR

Will Win: Alfonso Cuarón, ‘Roma’

Could Win: Spike Lee, ‘BlacKkKlansman’

Should Win: Alfonso Cuarón, ‘Roma’

Probably the easiest category to predict, Alfonso Cuarón is almost a sure bet for his second Oscar for directing for his most personal work yet, Roma. While some voters might feel Spike Lee is long overdue, Cuarón is simply too respected and has a narrative like no other in this category.

BEST ACTOR

Will Win: Rami Malek, ‘Bohemian Rhapsody’

Could Win: Christian Bale, ‘Vice’

Should Win: Bradley Cooper, ‘A Star is Born’

While the outcome for this category might very well change come Oscar night, I’m giving the edge right now to Rami Malek for his portrayal of Freddie Mercury. He has been campaigning hardcore trying to pull an Eddie Redmayne, and so far it has been working, with him winning the SAG and BAFTA. However, Christian Bale comes in a strong second place, as his delicious portrayal of Dick Cheney might just be too hard to resist for some. Also, could Bohemian Rhapsody’s controversy hurt Malek? Or even, could the votes split for Bale and Malek giving way for maybe Bradley Cooper, who I think gave the best male performance this year, to win? 

BEST ACTRESS

Will Win: Glenn Close, ‘The Wife’

Could Win: Olivia Colman, ‘The Favourite’

Should Win: Olivia Colman, ‘The Favourite’

Glenn Close has this award on lock after basically winning everything except the BAFTA. Her narrative, being one of the biggest ‘losers’ in Academy history (this being her 7th nomination but no wins) makes her by far the strongest nominee. While Lady Gaga looked strong for a while, A Star Is Born has failed to make an impact throughout the season, so don’t expect her to receive the accolade come Sunday. Colman, for her performance in The Favourite, might be in second place, albeit a weak one. Don’t expect a surprise here.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Will Win: Mahershala Ali, ‘Green Book’

Could Win: Richard E Grant, ‘Can You Ever Forgive Me?’

Should Win: Richard E Grant, ‘Can You Ever Forgive Me?’

Despite winning an Oscar in the same category only two years ago, Mahershala Ali looks to pull off a Christoph Waltz and run away with this one. Richard E Grant has been campaigning hardcore though, and his incredible performance is undeniable.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Will Win: Regina King, ‘If Beale Street Could Talk’

Could Win: Rachel Weisz, ‘The Favourite’

Should Win: Marina de Tavira, ‘Roma’

Perhaps the craziest category of all, Regina King seemed as the clear frontrunner from the beginning, winning the Golden Globe and all the Critic’s groups awards. However, both BAFTA and SAG failed to nominate her, a strong indicator that her Oscar might be in trouble. This could very well end up going to Rachel Weisz in the end, or even to Marina de Tavira. 

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Will Win: Green Book

Could Win: The Favourite

Should Win: Green Book

This is a close race between Green Book and The Favourite, and despite Nick Vallelonga’s controversial tweets, the former seems to be the frontrunner. However, don’t be surprised to see The Favourite’s wacky and hilarious script take it in the end. 

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Will Win: BlacKkKlansman

Could Win: If Beale Street Could Talk

Should Win: Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Academy members might feel this is the right place to award Spike Lee and his film for something, and while If Beale Street Could Talk could prove to be a strong challenger, don’t expect anyone other than Spike to receive this award.

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

Will Win: ‘Shallow’, Lady Gaga and Bradley Cooper

Could Win: ‘All the Stars’, Kendrick Lamar and SZA

Should Win: ‘When a Cowboy Trades His Spurs for Wings’

No doubt here. This might be the only award of the night for A Star Is Born, a film that once seemed like the frontrunner.

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Will Win: Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

Could Win: Incredibles 2

Should Win: Isle of Dogs

Incredibles 2 looked like a shoo-in just a few months ago, but another much more inventive superhero animated film came along and took basically all of its chances. Don’t cry for Disney though, as they basically win every single year. 

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

Will Win: Alfonso Cuaron, ‘Roma’

Could Win: Lukasz Zal, ‘Cold War’

Should Win: Alfonso Cuaron, ‘Roma’

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

Will Win: Roma

Could Win: Cold War

Should Win: Roma

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

Will Win: Free Solo

Could Win: RBG

Should Win: Free Solo

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

Will Win: If Beale Street Could Talk

Could Win: Black Panther

Should Win: If Beale Street Could Talk

BEST FILM EDITING

Will Win: Vice

Could Win: BlacKkKlansman

Should Win: Vice

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Will Win: First Man

Could Win: Avengers: Infinity War

Should Win: Ready Player One

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

Will Win: Vice

Could Win: Mary Queen of Scots

Should Win: Vice

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

Will Win: The Favourite

Could Win: Black Panther

Should Win: Black Panther

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

Will Win: The Favourite

Could Win: Black Panther

Should Win: Roma

BEST SOUND EDITING

Will Win: A Quiet Place

Could Win: Black Panther

Should Win: A Quiet Place

BEST SOUND MIXING

Will Win: First Man

Could Win: A Star is Born

Should Win: Roma

_______________________

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: